Long term weather forecast for February 2022

In Northern Federal District Expected average February temperature is -5…-10°C, which is 2-5 degrees warmer than usual. The expected amount of precipitation is 15-25 mm, which is less than the average long-term values, in the Komi Republic the amount of precipitation is within the normal range.

In the first days of the month, light snow and frosty, daytime temperature -15…-20 degrees, at night in some places it is not excluded that the temperature drops to -30 °C. By the end of the first ten days, there will be light snow, in some places a snowstorm, the prevailing temperature during the day is -2 ° -7 ° С, thaws are possible in some places, sleet on the roads.

In mid-February, on some days, light snow will fall, the daytime temperature is expected to be -3°-8 degrees, in some places there is a possibility of slight thaws. By the end of the second decade without significant precipitation, in the daytime -5°-10 °C, at night in some places it is possible that the temperature will drop to -18 degrees, and in the Komi Republic to -25 °C, in the daytime there -13°-18 degrees.

In the third decade, warm and windy weather is expected to predominate, snow is not excluded on some days, it will be snowy in places, alternating slight frosts and thaws in the daytime, icy roads in places.

February 1966 was extremely cold in Arkhangelsk. The average monthly temperature was  -24 degrees, which is almost 12 degrees below normal. On February 11, the minimum temperature reached -41.2 degrees, which was a record for the entire month. In second place in terms of cold is 1985 with an average monthly temperature of -22.4 degrees, which is 10.4 degrees below normal. On February 1, in the morning, the frost got stronger to -39.4 degrees, which became a daily record. And finally, last year's February took third place with an average monthly temperature of -19.6 degrees, which is 8.9 degrees lower than usual. From February 21 to February 23, daily cold records have been updated, which now stand at -37.2°C, -38.3°C, -34.9°C, respectively. Only at the very end of the month did the only February thaw take place.

In Central Chernozem region assumed average monthly temperature is -7 -8 C, which is  1-2 degrees below normal. The expected amount of precipitation is 15-25 mm, which is less than the norm.

At the beginning of the month, there will be light snow and sleet, the temperature during the day will be -2°+3°C. By the middle of the first ten days, dry weather will set in, the daytime temperature will be -5 ° -10 ° C, at night it will freeze in places to -13 ° -18 degrees. February 7-8 light snow and light frost – in the afternoon -1*-6°C.  At the end of the second decade  no significant precipitation, at night -15…-20 °С,  -7°C -12°C in the afternoon, sleet on the roads in some places.

In the middle of the month, light precipitation is likely, in the afternoon -3°+2°C, sleet on the roads. At the end of the second ten-day period, light snow in places, daytime temperature -3 ° -8 ° C, at night it will freeze to -15 degrees in places, sleet on the roads. The third decade will be distinguished by calm weather, light snow is possible on some days, the prevailing daily temperature is -1…-6 degrees. 

Last year's February in Voronezh turned out to be 2 degrees colder than usual. Precipitation fell one and a half times more than normal. Not without heat records. On February 12, in the warm sector of the southern cyclone, it warmed up to +5.3 degrees during the day, precipitation in the form of sleet and rain passed. But the next day, by evening, the temperature dropped sharply to -11 degrees. The third ten-day period turned out to be even more contrasting. So on February 23 and 24 in the morning the frost got stronger to -20…-22 degrees, and on the 26th in the afternoon the maximum temperature reached +9.2 degrees, which became a daily record.

In Volga-Vyatka regionand Middle Volga expected average temperature of the month is -9…-11 °С, which within the normal range. The expected amount of precipitation is 10-20 mm, which is less than the long-term average.

In the first days of the month it will snow, the temperature during the day will be +1…-4°C. By the middle of the first decade, light snow in places, -4…-9 degrees in the afternoon. At the end of the first ten days it is dry and moderately frosty, at night -18…-23 °С, during the day  -9…-14 degrees.

To by the middle of the month, dry weather will continue, daily temperature will be -5…-10°C. At the end of the second decade, there will be light snow, sleet, -1…-6 °С in the daytime, slight thaw in places, sleet on the roads.

7 degrees, at night down to -15 °C, light snow in places will pass towards the end of the month.

Last year's February in Samara turned out to be 4 degrees colder than usual, with precipitation one and a half times more than normal. Especially plentiful passed in the first days of February. The coldest day was February 23, when in the morning it froze to -30.3 degrees, which became a daily record and the daytime temperature did not exceed -20 ° C. The month ended with thaw weather, heavy rainfall. 

On Lower Volga the expected average temperature of the month is -4°-9°C, which is somewhat colder than usual. The expected amount of precipitation is 10-20 mm, which is less than the average multi-year values.

Precipitation will occur at the beginning of the month,  daytime temperature -2…+3 °С, in the Astrakhan region up to +6 degrees, sleet on the roads in some places By the end of the first ten days light snow in places, in the afternoon -6…-11 degrees, in the Astrakhan region -1…-6 °С .

It is dry in the middle of the month, the temperature during the day is -1-6 degrees, in the Astrakhan region it is about zero. By the end of the second ten-day period, snow and sleet are not excluded, light rain in the south, daytime temperatures are close to zero, in the Astrakhan region up to +7 degrees, sleet on the roads in some places. In the third decade, small ones are likely only in the last days of February, the prevailing daytime temperature is -1 ° -6 degrees, in the Astrakhan region 0 ° +5 ° C.

In south ETP The estimated average temperature in February is -1…-4°C, which is somewhat colder than normal. The expected amount of precipitation is 40-50 mm, which is close to usual.

In the beginning of the month there will be precipitation, mostly rain, +8°C +13°C in the afternoon, up to +16°C on the Black Sea coast. By the end of the first decade, light snow and sleet, daytime 0…-5 degrees, on the Black Sea coast +2…+7 degrees.

Warming is expected in mid-February, daily temperature +3…+8 degrees,   on the Black Sea coast up to +10…+15 degrees, sometimes rainy. 

By the end of the second decade, a short wave of cold is likely, when slight frosts are likely even in the daytime, the ground will be covered with snow, the weather is windy, on the Black Sea coast 0…+5 degrees, frosts at night. For most of the third decade, weather is expected without precipitation, only by the end of the month, light precipitation is possible. The prevailing daily temperature is +1°+6 degrees, on the Black Sea coast on some days the air will warm up to +8°+13°C.

Last year's February turned out to be close to normal in temperature, with more than usual rainfall. A warm first half of the month stands out, in the resort of Sochi at the beginning of the second decade the air warmed up to +20 degrees and the invasion of very cold air by the end of the second ten-day period, when the daytime temperature was close to zero, and in some places there were slight frosts, there were heavy rainfall. February ended with moderately warm weather.

To Crimea Estimated average temperature in February is close to zero, which is within normal limits. The expected amount of precipitation is 25-30 mm, which is slightly less than usual. 

At the beginning of the month little precipitation, daytime temperature +6…+11 degrees By the end of the first decade, snow is possible, in the afternoon 0…-5 degrees , on the Black Sea coast up to +4 °С.

In the middle of February, in some places, precipitation, daytime temperature +4 +9 °С, in some places up to 13 degrees Celsius. By the end of the second decade  it will get colder to -1…-6 degrees, the ground will be powdered with snow, there will be sleet on the roads. Dry weather is expected for most of the third ten-day period, precipitation is not excluded only at the end of the month, the prevailing temperature during the day is +2…+7 degrees, on the Black Sea coast on some days up to +10 °С.

The warmest February was in Simferopol in 1977. The average monthly temperature has reached +6.5 degrees, which is 6 degrees higher than usual. It was very warm in mid-February 2016, when during the day the air warmed up to +20…+22 degrees. That February is in second place in terms of warmth with an average monthly temperature of +5.9 degrees.

Last year's February turned out to be close to the average long-term values ​​in terms of temperature. On February 1, the air warmed up to +19 degrees, which became a new daily record. The coldest weather was observed in the middle of the month, when even the daily temperature became negative, the ground was covered with snow. However, in the last days of the month, it again became significantly warmer and there was no trace of snow left..

In & nbsp; to the norm. The expected amount of precipitation is 15-25 mm, which is less than usual.

The month will begin with thaw weather with precipitation, but by the end of the first decade, frost will get stronger during the day to -10…-15 degrees, at night to -22…-27 °C, without precipitation. Frosty and dry weather will continue until the middle of the month. At the end of the second decade, there will be light snow in places, frosts will weaken to -2°-7 degrees, in the Southern Urals there will be a slight thaw in places. By the beginning of the third decade without precipitation, in the daytime -7…-12 degrees. February will end with cloudy weather with moderate night frosts and daytime temperatures of 0 -5 °С.  

February 2016 was unusually warm and dry in Yekaterinburg. The average monthly temperature reached -4.1 degrees, which is almost 7 degrees above normal. The third decade was especially warm, when the daily temperature rose to 5-7 degrees Celsius. Last February became snowy and frosty, the average monthly temperature was more than 5 degrees below normal. The first decade was especially contrasting, if on the 6th it was very warm, up to +2 degrees in the afternoon, then by the end of the first ten days it froze to -25-27 degrees. The coldest day was February 23, in the morning the frost got stronger to -32 degrees, and the daytime temperature did not exceed -23 degrees. Only in the last days of the month it snowed and frosts weakened by 8-10 degrees.

In south of Western Siberia the expected average temperature of the month is -14&hellip ;-16 °С, which is close to normal, in some places it can be a degree below normal. The expected amount of precipitation is 10-20 mm, which is slightly less than the long-term average.

At the beginning of the month, mild snowy weather is expected, then dry and frosty weather will set in with a prevailing daytime temperature of -13 ° -18 degrees, at night in some places up to -30 ° C, which will last until the middle of the month. By the beginning of the third decade, it will snow, in some places it will be swirling, in the afternoon a slight thaw is likely in some places. February will end with dry weather, after frosty nights during the day the air can warm up to -3…-8 °С.

Last year's February turned out to be somewhat colder than usual with an excess of precipitation. The first decade was a contrast. On the 7th, the maximum temperature in Novosibirsk reached +2.2 degrees, which was a daily record, then on February 10, the temperature dropped sharply by more than 20 degrees. The most severe frosts were recorded at the beginning of the second ten-day period, in the morning down to -35 degrees. Another wave of cold was observed in the last days of February, when the night temperature dropped below -30 degrees.

In & nbsp; ;C, which is 1-2 degrees above normal, Estimated rainfall is 10-15 mm, which is less than normal.

In the first days of the month, light precipitation, alternation of moderate frosts and thaws, slippery on the roads. By the end of the first decade  without precipitation and frosty, during the day the maximum temperature is -15 ° -20 degrees, at night in some places up to -32 ° С.

In mid-February, light snow, during the day the maximum temperature is -8-13 degrees. By the beginning of the third ten-day period, light snow will pass on some days, the temperature during the day will be -2 -7 °C. In the middle of the third decade, frosts will intensify again, during the day the maximum temperature is -10 ° -15 ° C, at night -22 ° -27 ° C.  February will end with mild weather with snow, -8°-13°C at night, -1°-6°C in the daytime, in some places there is a chance of a thaw.

In the south of the Far East region the expected average monthly temperature is -8…-16°C, which is within normal limits. The expected amount of precipitation is 12-25 mm, which is slightly above the climatic norm.

At the beginning of the month there is no precipitation, daytime temperature is -4°-9°C, in the Khabarovsk Territory -10°-15°C. By the end of the first decade, there will be light snow, a snowstorm in places, -2°-7 °C in the afternoon, a thaw is not ruled out in Primorye, sleet on the roads in some places.

In the middle of the month without precipitation, in the afternoon -3°- 8 ° C, in the Khabarovsk Territory -11 ° -16 degrees. The third decade will be distinguished by the unstable nature of the weather, in the middle of the period it will snow in some places, it will begin to snow, the prevailing daytime temperature is 0…-5 degrees, in the Khabarovsk Territory -5…-10 °С.  

In Kaliningrad Region (Kaliningrad) Expected average temperature is -1…-2 degrees, which is one degree below normal.  The expected amount of precipitation is 30-40 mm., which is somewhat less than usual.

In the first days of the month it will be cloudy, there will be precipitation,  during the day the maximum temperature is +1…+6 °С.  By the end of the first ten days, there will be light snow, in the afternoon 0…-5 °С, on the roads there are sleet in places. 

Windy weather is expected in the middle of the month, precipitation is not excluded, daily temperature is 0…+3 °С.  By the end of the second decade without precipitation, during the day the maximum temperature is close to zero, at night it will freeze to -8 degrees.  No precipitation is expected in the first half of the third ten-day period, slight frosts at night, around zero degrees in the daytime. February will end with cloudy weather with clearings, light precipitation will pass, the daytime temperature will be -1…+4°С, there will be sleet on the roads in places. 

Heavy rain hit Kaliningrad on February 5, 2011, when 45 mm fell in a day. almost monthly rate. For that, in the second half of the month, abnormal colds set in, night frosts in the first half of the third decade intensified to -20 degrees. As a result, the month came out more than 4 degrees colder than usual. The warmest February happened in 1990, when there were no frosts throughout the month, and in the first half of the third decade the vegetation period began unusually early, during the day the air warmed up to +10°+15 degrees. The average monthly temperature reached  +5.3 degrees, which is more than 7 degrees higher than usual. Last year's month was unusually contrasting. The first half of the month was frosty in winter, at the beginning of the third decade it became sharply warmer, and on February 25 a monthly record of +16.9 degrees was set.

In St. Petersburg  The expected average temperature of the month is -4…-5°C, which is within the normal range. The expected amount of precipitation is 25-30 mm, which is somewhat less than usual.

In the first days of February, without precipitation, the daytime temperature is -5-10 degrees, icy roads on the roads. By the middle of the first decade there will be light snow, in the afternoon & nbsp; -3*-8 degrees. At the end of the first ten days, there will be light precipitation, during the day the maximum temperature will be 0°-3°C, there will be sleet on the roads.

By mid-February, it will be cloudy with clearings, light precipitation, maximum daytime temperature 0°-5 degrees, icy roads in places. At the end of the second decade without precipitation, a thaw is likely in the afternoon, sleet on the roads. By the middle of the third ten-day period without precipitation, at night -8…-13 degrees, in the daytime the maximum temperature is -1…-6°C. February will end with cloudy weather with clearings, light precipitation will pass, the daily temperature will be -2…+3 degrees.

February 1990 turned out to be extremely warm and humid in St. Petersburg. The average monthly temperature was  +1.7 degrees, which is more than 8 degrees higher than usual. Only three days in a month the maximum temperature turned out to be negative. The record for the maximum temperature of the month belongs to 1989, on the 27th the air warmed up to + 10.2 degrees. But last year's February was daring with frosts, the month turned out to be more than 4 degrees colder than usual.  The second decade turned out to be especially cold, on February 18 in the morning the frost got stronger to -24.5 degrees. And only in the last days of the month it became significantly warmer, the maximum temperature reached +2…+4 degrees, precipitation passed. ; C, which is a degree below normal. The expected amount of precipitation is 15-20 mm, which is 50-60% less than usual.

In early February, wet snow will pass, in the afternoon 0 ° -5 ° С. By the middle of the first decade, light snow in places, daytime temperature -6 ° -11 ° С. At the end of the first ten days, light snow will fall, in the afternoon -3°-8 degrees, sleet on the roads in some places.

Slight precipitation is possible by the middle of the month, daytime temperatures are around zero, sleet on the roads in some places. At the end of the second decade without precipitation, at night -7°-12 °С, in the daytime -1°-6 °С. 

The first half of the third decade will please with slightly frosty weather without precipitation, daily temperature is -2°-7 degrees. In the last days of the month, cloudy weather with light snow and sleet is expected, the temperature at night is -3°-8 °C, the daytime temperature is -3°+2°C.

February turned out to be extremely warm in Moscow 1990. The average monthly temperature was 0.4 degrees, which is almost 8 degrees higher than usual. The record for the maximum temperature of the month belongs to 1989, on the 27th the air warmed up to + 8.3 degrees. The maximum temperature on February 21, 2020 was also close to this value – + 7.8 degrees. But last year's February turned out to be colder than usual by 4.6 degrees, and the precipitation fell significantly more than the norm. On February 12 and 13, during the passage of the southern cyclone, there were heavy snowfalls, more than 30 mm fell in two days, which is the monthly norm. The third decade turned out to be the most contrasting. The day of February 23 turned out to be the coldest, in the morning it froze to -24.5 degrees, and the daytime temperature was -15°-17°C. A day later, a sharp warming began, on the 26th the maximum temperature reached + 6.4 degrees, which became a daily record.

Источник aif.ru

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